Nantucket, MA
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Travel Demand Forecast Model

The Town is coordinating with TrafInfo, MassDOT, and the Boston region (CTPS) to develop a multi-modal Travel Demand Forecast Model (TDFM) tool with the following goals and objectives:

Project Goals

  • To assess local and regional plans, roadway and transit changes, land use changes, and major development projects on the island.
  • To assist in developing mitigation measures in response to any impacts on vehicle-miles travel (VMT) and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
  • To support its goal to reduce single-occupant vehicle travel and encourage greater use of non-auto modes such as transit and other high-occupancy vehicle modes, bicycling and walking on the island.

Project Objectives

  • Be sensitive to socioeconomic and demographic changes
  • Allow simulating future land use changes and proposed land development projects
  • Reflect the multimodal nature of the transportation system on the island including highways and streets, transit system, and bicycle and pedestrian facilities
  • Account of limitations of available parking
  • Generate the necessary outputs that clearly quantify the impacts of future changes and projects
  • Provide the ability to implement transportation system improvements and enhancements to mitigate the impacts
  • Serve as an effective tool to be used as part of the island’s planning process including development of long-term transportation plans and air quality analysis as well as serve as a common transparent standard for assessing impacts of future land use changes and planned development projects.

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"Utilizing a data-informed approach to Long-Range Planning"
Transportation Program Manager Mike Burns
Transportation Program Manager Mike Burns
Nantucket Planning & Economic Development Commission

Project Timeline

November 2025
Tech Memo #2 TDFM Base Model
June 2026

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